Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.419651 0.459655 0.502424 0.551659 0.606901 0.667121 0.737933
2026-01-18 0.354887 0.410717 0.474567 0.553449 0.648909 0.761485 0.905466
2026-01-25 0.318393 0.382376 0.458979 0.558375 0.685292 0.843775 1.059586
2026-02-01 0.284975 0.351993 0.435089 0.547102 0.696321 0.891416 1.171111
2026-02-08 0.264478 0.334764 0.424629 0.549934 0.723351 0.959803 1.315397
2026-02-15 0.245089 0.316727 0.410749 0.545736 0.738878 1.012195 1.441295
2026-02-22 0.230964 0.304198 0.402658 0.547905 0.762335 1.076690 1.591147
2026-03-01 0.215910 0.289066 0.389493 0.541196 0.771427 1.119759 1.711645
2026-03-08 0.202241 0.274782 0.376258 0.532888 0.776702 1.156534 1.825139
2026-03-15 0.187693 0.258237 0.358523 0.516221 0.767160 1.168248 1.896719
2026-03-22 0.182112 0.254232 0.358697 0.526586 0.800784 1.252653 2.104959
2026-03-29 0.176174 0.249258 0.356967 0.533613 0.829240 1.330741 2.311587
2026-04-05 0.169517 0.242919 0.352905 0.536840 0.852045 1.402160 2.517519
2026-04-12 0.163006 0.236424 0.348175 0.538580 0.872398 1.471295 2.729312
2026-04-19 0.157711 0.231465 0.345474 0.543345 0.898230 1.552845 2.978398
2026-04-26 0.149507 0.221478 0.334096 0.532439 0.894702 1.578058 3.110632
2026-05-03 0.144721 0.216656 0.330786 0.535179 0.916362 1.654270 3.367097
2026-05-10 0.138950 0.209937 0.323936 0.531117 0.924711 1.704471 3.571563
2026-05-17 0.134746 0.205546 0.320691 0.533216 0.944930 1.780946 3.850893
2026-05-24 0.129269 0.198783 0.313048 0.526725 0.947616 1.820524 4.045455
2026-05-31 0.123877 0.191917 0.304870 0.518687 0.946475 1.851570 4.223253
2026-06-07 0.117450 0.183039 0.292784 0.502558 0.927538 1.841280 4.290099
2026-06-14 0.115703 0.182026 0.294403 0.512589 0.963627 1.959101 4.727373